Felix Pinkston
Feb 20, 2026 05:25
NEAR Protocol trades at $1.00 with bearish momentum but could rally to $1.20 if it breaks above $1.04 resistance. RSI at 33.59 suggests oversold conditions may spark recovery.
NEAR Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $1.04
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $1.10-$1.20 range
• Bullish breakout level: $1.04
• Critical support: $0.96
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About NEAR Protocol
While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent days, blockchain analytics platforms suggest mixed signals for NEAR Protocol. According to previous analysis from Blockchain.News in January, technical indicators pointed to potential upside if NEAR could break through key resistance levels around $1.85, though the token has since retreated significantly from those levels.
On-chain data reveals that NEAR Protocol has experienced substantial selling pressure, with the token now trading well below its 200-day simple moving average of $2.08, indicating a longer-term bearish trend that needs to be overcome for any sustainable recovery.
NEAR Technical Analysis Breakdown
NEAR Protocol’s current technical setup presents a mixed picture with some oversold signals that could lead to a short-term bounce. The RSI at 33.59 sits in neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions, which historically has provided buying opportunities for the token.
The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum has stalled, though the MACD line at -0.1012 remains below its signal line, indicating continued downside pressure. However, the convergence suggests momentum may be shifting.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals NEAR trading in the lower portion of its range, with the current price at $1.00 sitting between the middle band ($1.06) and lower band ($0.92). The %B position at 0.31 suggests the token is in oversold territory within its recent trading range.
The daily Average True Range (ATR) of $0.06 indicates moderate volatility, providing reasonable trading opportunities for both breakout and breakdown scenarios.
NEAR Protocol Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
If NEAR Protocol can break above the immediate resistance at $1.04, which aligns with both the 7-day and 12-day EMAs, it could trigger a relief rally toward the 20-day SMA at $1.06. A sustained break above this level opens the door to testing the upper Bollinger Band at $1.20, representing a 20% upside from current levels.
The bullish case requires volume confirmation and RSI moving above 50 to signal renewed buying interest. If these conditions align, NEAR could potentially reach $1.15-$1.20 within the next month.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold current support levels could see NEAR Protocol decline toward the strong support at $0.96, representing a 4% downside from current prices. A break below this level would likely trigger further selling toward the lower Bollinger Band at $0.92.
The bearish scenario becomes more probable if RSI continues declining below 30 and trading volume remains weak. Given the significant distance from the 200-day SMA at $2.08, longer-term bearish pressure remains a key risk factor.
Should You Buy NEAR? Entry Strategy
For traders considering NEAR Protocol, the current price around $1.00 offers a reasonable risk-reward setup. Conservative buyers should wait for a break above $1.04 with volume confirmation before entering positions, targeting $1.15-$1.20 for the medium term.
Aggressive traders might consider accumulating near current levels with tight stop-losses below $0.96 to limit downside risk. Dollar-cost averaging between $0.96-$1.00 could be effective given the oversold technical conditions.
Risk management remains crucial given NEAR’s 79% decline from its 200-day average. Position sizes should be kept modest, with stop-losses strictly maintained below the $0.92 support level.
Conclusion
This NEAR price prediction suggests cautious optimism for the short term, with potential for a 15-20% rally if key resistance levels are cleared. The NEAR Protocol forecast points to $1.15-$1.20 as realistic targets over the next 4-6 weeks, though traders should remain vigilant about the longer-term bearish trend that needs to be overcome for sustained gains.
Disclaimer: This NEAR price prediction is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and prices can be highly volatile. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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