Analyst Says Factors Now Aligning for the XRP $80 Target

Market factors are now aligning in support of the XRP to $80 target, according to a well-known market analyst.

XRP has remained under pressure in recent months. The token now trades at $1.42 in February 2026, marking a steep 61% drop from its July 2025 all-time high of $3.66. The slide began in October 2025, and over the past five months, XRP has fallen 50%, extending the steady downtrend.

Despite the pullback, market analyst Casi recently pointed back to an analysis she first shared nearly two years ago, where she mentioned the possibility of XRP reaching $80. According to her latest comments, several factors now appear to be lining up again, suggesting the structure remains.

Key Points

• XRP now changes hands at $1.42, down 61% from its July 2025 all-time high of $3.66, having fallen 50% over the past five months since the downturn began in October 2025.
• Despite the declining prices, a market analyst, Casi, says factors are lining up to take XRP toward her potential $80 peak.
• Casi first discussed this level in May 2024, projecting extension targets between $8 and $13 and a possible run to $80, while XRP traded for $0.54 at the time.
• The analyst based her conviction on XRP breaking out of a triangle formation that had capped its upward momentum for 8 years.
• By December 2024, XRP had surged from $0.53 to $2.7, confirming her breakout suggestion.

XRP 6-Year Triangle 

Casi’s latest commentary on XRP’s price position comes amid the ongoing downturn. Notably, she first highlighted the $80 target in May 2024, when XRP traded at $0.53.

During this period, Casi discussed what could happen to XRP after six years of consolidation from 2018 to 2024. She focused on a large triangle pattern that formed following the drop from the January 2018 peak of $3.31 and explored what might follow once the price broke out of that structure. 

At the time, she explained that XRP had limited historical data but typically moved within triangle formations before making strong upward moves. She called attention to a pattern where XRP tends to post an initial breakout wave that hits a peak target, then enters a corrective phase labeled ABCDE. 

Targets After Triangle Breakout

Based on the structure, Casi suggested that XRP could see a major breakout followed by another period of triangle consolidation. The analyst clarified that the actual height of the breakout wave remained uncertain because XRP was forming a new trend. She admitted that her extension levels were projections, not guarantees.

Casi identified extension targets between $8 and $13. Specifically, she measured from the triangle’s apex at $0.54 to a projected breakout high of $13. This calculation highlighted key levels, including $8.20, which she had already marked on her chart. 

The analyst also noted that everything depended on where the breakout ultimately topped out. She said the high could land at $8, $13, or even $80, and traders would need to adjust expectations based on the outcome.

She also discussed the depth of the next correction. According to her, the A wave would likely determine how deep the pullback would go. A shallow correction around the 0.382 Fibonacci level near $8 remained possible, rather than a deeper ABC move that could expand into a full ABCDE pattern. Notwithstanding, she expected XRP would likely form another triangle before continuing higher.

XRP Breaches Triangle in Rally Above $2

By December 2024, XRP had climbed from $0.53 to $2.7, breaching the six-year symmetrical triangle. This massive move gave weight to her earlier breakout scenario. At that point, she discussed what might happen once XRP moved past its previous all-time high.

🚨 Remember this: Once $XRP breaks its All-Time High, it’s uncharted territory. 🚀
Extension targets like $8, $13, or even $80 are all on the table, but technical analysis becomes much tougher from there. With no historical levels left, we’ll rely solely on projections—and where…

— CasiTrades 🔥 (@CasiTrades) December 2, 2024

Casi explained that once XRP breaks its record high, it enters completely new territory. Without past price levels to act as resistance, analysts must rely only on projections. She repeated that $8, $13, and even $80 remained possible extension targets. 

Factors Aligning Despite Downtrend

Now, XRP trades at $1.42 after falling 61% from its $3.66 high in July 2025 and losing 50% since the October 2025 downturn began. Despite the weakness, Casi has revisited her earlier projection. 

$80 XRP target mentioned May 2024. Other factors now aligning- Let’s see where this next W3 brings us! 😍🎯 https://t.co/4A9kfqHM48

— CasiTrades 🔥 (@CasiTrades) February 16, 2026

She reminded her audience that she mentioned the $80 target back in May 2024 and said new factors are starting to align. However, she failed to specifically highlight these factors. Casi specifically highlighted the possibility of the next Wave 3 forming, a phase that often represents the strongest move in Elliott Wave structures.