Can Bulls Flip $1.62 After OI Reset?

• XRP holds above $1.4238 support, signaling early demand returning after macro low.
• Bulls face key resistance at $1.5768–$1.6187 before confirming broader trend shift.
• Reduced derivatives leverage and balanced spot flows create healthier volatility base.

XRP trades near $1.49 as traders watch for signs of recovery on the 4-hour chart. The token recently bounced from the macro swing low at $1.1243 and now holds above the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $1.4238. This area acts as immediate support and reflects early demand returning. 

Moreover, price attempts to reclaim the Bollinger mid-band near $1.4886. A sustained move above that level would confirm short-term stabilization. However, momentum still faces several resistance barriers before any broader trend reversal unfolds.

Technical Structure Points to a Decision Zone

XRP now approaches dynamic resistance at $1.5768, aligned with the upper Bollinger Band. Consequently, a clean break above this zone could attract fresh momentum traders. The next breakout trigger sits at $1.6187, which marks the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. 

If bulls push beyond that level, the price could target $1.7714 near the 0.5 retracement. Additionally, the $1.9241 zone remains the major structural barrier. That level represents the 0.618 retracement and defines a possible trend shift.

On the downside, $1.4238 remains the first defense line. Besides that, the lower Bollinger Band near $1.40 provides short-term cushioning. If sellers regain control and breach those supports, price could revisit the $1.1243 macro low. Therefore, the $1.48–$1.57 range now serves as the immediate battleground.

Related: Solana Price Prediction: SOL Consolidates After 55% Drop, Is $98 Next?

DMI indicators show strengthening bullish pressure. The positive directional index sits above the negative line, while ADX hovers near 25. Hence, momentum gradually builds in favor of buyers, although conviction remains moderate.

Derivatives and Spot Flows Reset Risk

Open interest trends reveal a cooling leverage environment. During the late Q4 rally, derivatives exposure expanded aggressively and peaked between $8 and $10 billion. However, that leverage has since unwound. 

Current open interest stands near $2.4 billion. Significantly, this reset lowers liquidation risk and reduces excessive speculation. As a result, XRP may build volatility from a healthier base.

Spot flow data also reflects changing dynamics. From late May through November, heavy outflows dominated, often exceeding $50 million. Consequently, sustained distribution pressured price action. 

Related: Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Consolidates Near $68K as Analyst Warns ETF Ownership is Hedged

Brief inflow bursts aligned with short-term rebounds but lacked continuation. Recently, flows appear more balanced. That stabilization suggests selling pressure has eased, though accumulation remains limited.

Market attention around XRP continues to rise despite broader weakness. Grayscale’s research team recently ranked XRP as the second most discussed asset after Bitcoin. 

Advisors reportedly see consistent client interest in XRP-related products. Additionally, analysts view the XRP Ledger as battle-tested infrastructure with growth potential. Hence, strong community engagement may support narrative recovery if technical conditions improve.

Technical Outlook For XRP Price

Key levels remain clearly defined for XRP on the 4H structure as price stabilizes above recent swing support. XRP trades near $1.49 after bouncing from the macro low at $1.1243. The 0.236 Fib at $1.4238 now acts as immediate support and short-term pivot.

Upside levels: $1.5768 stands as immediate resistance at the upper Bollinger Band. A breakout above $1.6187 (0.382 Fib) could open room toward $1.7714 (0.5 Fib). Beyond that, $1.9241 (0.618 Fib) marks the structural trend reversal zone.

Downside levels: $1.4238 remains critical support, followed by $1.4000 at the lower Bollinger Band. Loss of this zone exposes $1.1243, the macro swing low.

The technical picture shows XRP attempting to compress beneath key Fibonacci resistance while momentum gradually improves. DMI favors bulls, with ADX strengthening near 25. This suggests trend energy is building, although confirmation requires a clean break above $1.57.

Will XRP Go Higher?

XRP’s short-term direction depends on whether buyers can defend $1.42 and flip $1.57 into support. Sustained strength above $1.62 would increase the probability of a move toward $1.77 and possibly $1.92. 

However, failure to hold $1.42 would shift structure back to sellers and revive downside risk toward $1.12. For now, XRP trades in a decisive zone where volatility expansion appears increasingly likely.

Related: World Liberty Financial Price Prediction: WLFI Consolidates After January Spike in Open Interest