Grok Reveals XRP Current Position in the Market Cycle

xAI’s Grok has assessed XRP’s position within the Psychology of a Market Cycle framework, suggesting the token is currently in the early recovery phase.

Following XRP’s recent drop below $1.20, many investors have been questioning its long-term prospects. Although the token has rebounded to around $1.40, skepticism persists, with some expecting the recovery to wane. 

However, Grok indicates that XRP has likely completed its extended bearish cycle and is now progressing toward the market’s euphoric phase. 

Key Points 

• xAI’s Grok analysis positions XRP in the early recovery stage of the Psychology of a Market Cycle. 
• The AI model identifies XRP as currently in the Disbelief phase, where skepticism persists despite an improving price structure.
• As momentum strengthens, the analysis suggests XRP could advance through Optimism, Belief, Thrill, and ultimately Euphoria. 
• Historical trends show that Euphoria often precedes sharp reversals, underscoring the importance of disciplined risk management. 

XRP Now Disbelief Phase 

Grok shared this assessment after XRP advocate Diana asked it to determine the token’s current stage in the market psychology model. According to the AI, XRP has moved beyond the “Hope” phase—when investors anticipate a rally—and entered the “Disbelief” phase.

This stage is characterized by widespread skepticism, even as price structure strengthens. After falling below $1.20 earlier this month, XRP has stabilized near $1.40, and several analysts now project a potential rebound. 

Historically, the Disbelief phase offers one of the most attractive risk-reward setups, as negative sentiment persists while strategic investors quietly accumulate. Notably, reports indicate that traders withdrew 200 million XRP from Binance within 10 days, signaling ongoing accumulation.  

XRP Entering Early Recovery

As momentum builds during Disbelief, the market typically progresses into Optimism, Belief, Thrill, and eventually Euphoria—stages often associated with rapid price growth.

During Optimism, skeptics begin to acknowledge that the rally may be sustainable. As the cycle moves into Belief, investors increase exposure and prioritize acquiring more XRP. 

The market then enters the Thrill phase, when existing holders actively promote the token and attract new participants, driving stronger buying pressure and higher prices. This momentum eventually leads to euphoria. 

Grok’s assessment suggests that XRP may be in the early stages of a new bullish cycle, indicating significant upside potential if broader market conditions remain favorable. 

Caution at the Peak 

While the outlook is encouraging, the chart shows that at Euphoria, excessive confidence dominates. The market then typically reverses into Complacency, followed by Anxiety, Denial, and Panic, as investors rush to exit positions to avoid losses. This underscores the importance of cautious, strategic participation even during strong rallies.