A prominent crypto pundit has flagged a bearish pattern that could push Bitcoin to close next month in the red.
Ash Crypto highlighted a rare historical pattern in Bitcoin’s price action, signaling that the market may still face further downside. After recording four consecutive red months from October 2025 through January 2026, Bitcoin has now entered a technical phase that previously preceded a sixth straight monthly loss.
Key Points
- Bitcoin has recorded four consecutive monthly losses from October 2025 through January 2026, while February is on track to mark a fifth straight red close.
- If a rare historical pattern repeats, Bitcoin could also finish March 2026 in negative territory.
- However, analysts contend that catalysts such as Bitcoin ETFs and expanding nation-state adoption may help reverse the downtrend.
- Others caution that historical trends provide context but do not guarantee future performance.
Recent Bearish Performance
Bitcoin’s recent price action has reignited fears of a deeper downside, as the asset appears on track to complete five consecutive red months, marking an uncommon event in its trading history.
Notably, Bitcoin closed October 2025, November 2025, December 2025, and January 2026 in negative territory, posting losses of 3.69%, 17.67%, 2.97%, and 10.17%, respectively. In addition, Bitcoin has already fallen by 14.6% in February 2026, with just 10 days remaining in the month.
Sixth Consecutive Bearish Month Looms
Commenting on this trend, Ash Crypto pointed to a similar historical episode in which Bitcoin, after closing its fifth consecutive month in the red, also ended the sixth month with further losses.
Per the accompanying chart, Bitcoin recorded five straight bearish months from August 2018 to December 2018, followed by another decline in January 2019.
Consequently, with Bitcoin now mirroring this bearish pattern, having already closed in the red from October 2025 to January 2026 and currently down more than 14% in February 2026 to $67,185, March 2026 could also finish lower if history repeats itself.
Bitcoin Could Diverge From Past Bearish Trend
Despite Ash’s concerns, many crypto advocates dismiss fears that Bitcoin will post a sixth straight monthly loss. They argue that market conditions have changed significantly since the last prolonged bearish streak.
Specifically, they point to catalysts such as Bitcoin ETFs and growing nation-state adoption of the leading cryptocurrency as forces that could reverse the downtrend and prevent another red monthly close.
Moreover, proponents stress that while historical patterns provide context, they do not dictate future performance. As a result, they believe Bitcoin could diverge from past trends and close March 2026 in the green.
As March approaches, market participants will be closely watching whether Bitcoin breaks this bearish sequence or confirms another chapter of prolonged market pain.
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