Alvin Lang
Feb 21, 2026 05:07
UNI shows oversold RSI at 42.15 with analysts targeting $4.03-$4.13 recovery. Current resistance at $3.64 must break for bullish momentum toward March breakout levels.
UNI Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $3.85
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $4.03-$4.13 range
• Bullish breakout level: $3.73
• Critical support: $3.22
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Uniswap
Recent analyst commentary from February 14-16, 2026 shows convergence around similar price targets for UNI’s recovery potential. James Ding noted on February 14 that “UNI trades at $3.23 with RSI at 26.47 signaling oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $3.85-$4.03 range if key support levels hold through February-March 2026.”
Building on this analysis, Jessie A Ellis observed on February 15 that “UNI shows oversold RSI at 39.49 with technical analysts targeting $3.85-$4.03 range. Current price $3.62 faces key resistance at $3.90 for bullish momentum.”
The most optimistic near-term outlook came from Caroline Bishop on February 16, who stated that “UNI trades at $3.55 with oversold RSI at 39.15. Technical analysts target $4.03-$4.13 recovery as Uniswap approaches key support levels with potential March breakout.”
These predictions collectively suggest institutional confidence in UNI’s ability to recover toward the $4+ level, representing potential upside of 13-16% from current levels.
UNI Technical Analysis Breakdown
UNI’s current technical setup at $3.56 presents a mixed but cautiously optimistic picture. The RSI reading of 42.15 sits in neutral territory, having recovered from deeply oversold conditions earlier in February. This recovery in momentum indicators aligns with the 5.49% daily gain that brought UNI above both its 7-day SMA ($3.49) and 20-day SMA ($3.51).
The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum is losing steam, though a bullish crossover hasn’t materialized yet. UNI’s position within the Bollinger Bands shows promise, with the current price representing 56% of the distance between the lower band ($3.14) and upper band ($3.88).
Key resistance levels require attention for any sustained Uniswap forecast to materialize. Immediate resistance at $3.64 must break before testing the stronger resistance at $3.73. A decisive break above $3.73 would target the Bollinger upper band at $3.88, confirming the bullish scenario outlined by recent analysts.
The daily ATR of $0.31 suggests moderate volatility, providing reasonable risk-reward ratios for both swing traders and position builders.
Uniswap Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
A successful break above immediate resistance at $3.64 opens the path toward $3.85-$4.03 targets identified by multiple analysts. The strongest bullish case targets Caroline Bishop’s $4.13 level, requiring UNI to reclaim positions above the 50-day SMA ($4.49) currently acting as major resistance.
Technical confirmation for the bullish UNI price prediction would include RSI moving above 50, MACD generating a positive crossover, and sustained trading above the $3.73 strong resistance level. Volume expansion beyond the current $15.1 million daily average would provide additional confirmation.
Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold current support levels could see UNI retreat toward the strong support at $3.22. A breakdown below this level would target the Bollinger lower band at $3.14, representing downside risk of approximately 12% from current levels.
The primary risk factor remains UNI’s position significantly below longer-term moving averages, with the 50-day SMA at $4.49 and 200-day SMA at $6.82 highlighting the broader downtrend that needs to be overcome for sustainable recovery.
Should You Buy UNI? Entry Strategy
Current levels around $3.56 offer a reasonable risk-reward setup for UNI accumulation, particularly with multiple analysts targeting the $4+ range. Conservative buyers might wait for a pullback toward the $3.39 immediate support level for improved entry positioning.
Aggressive buyers could enter on breaks above $3.64 with confirmation from increased volume. Stop-loss levels should be placed below the $3.22 strong support to limit downside risk to approximately 10%.
For the medium-term Uniswap forecast targeting $4.03-$4.13, position sizing should account for the 50-day SMA resistance at $4.49 that may cap initial recovery attempts.
Conclusion
The current UNI price prediction points toward a recovery targeting $4.03-$4.13 by March 2026, supported by oversold technical conditions and analyst consensus. With moderate confidence, UNI appears positioned for a 13-16% upside move if it can break above the $3.73 resistance level.
However, the broader downtrend evidenced by price action well below longer-term moving averages suggests any recovery may face significant headwinds. Traders should maintain disciplined risk management and monitor volume confirmation for any sustained breakout attempts.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and based on technical analysis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
Image source: Shutterstock